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Investigations

The U.S. just put a 12.5% tariff on Thailand and Vietnam — and the exemption list has zero video-game-console codes. Every CBP origin ruling for Razer, Turtle Beach and Valve now reads like a bill.

On 24 July 2026 a new U.S. Section 301 action — a forced-labor investigation covering 60 economies, published at **91 FR 47318** — began imposing an additional **12.5%** on imports from Thailand (heading 9903.05.77) and Vietnam (heading 9903.05.84). It is not a "flat" rate: the tariff column reads "the duty provided in the applicable subheading **+ 12.5%**." And the escape hatch — heading 9903.05.86, which exempts everything on Note 52's carve-out list — contains **9,692 tariff codes across 82 chapters and not one of them is in Chapter 95.** The code list jumps straight from `9405.99.40` to `9620.00.50`. Video game consoles (HTS 9504.50) are not exempt, not named, and not carved out. Meanwhile CBP has spent 2025 and 2026 issuing origin rulings that assign Razer, Turtle Beach and Valve controllers and consoles to Thailand or Vietnam — based on nothing more than where a circuit board was soldered. The industry migrated out of China to escape a tariff. A tariff with an entirely different rationale has now followed it there.

16 min read Industry Hardware Console Economics AI Memory
The U.S. just put a 12.5% tariff on Thailand and Vietnam — and the exemption list has zero video-game-console codes. Every CBP origin ruling for Razer, Turtle Beach and Valve now reads like a bill.

Excerpt: On 24 July 2026 a new U.S. Section 301 action — a forced-labor investigation covering 60 economies, published at 91 FR 47318 — began imposing an additional 12.5% on imports from Thailand (heading 9903.05.77) and Vietnam (heading 9903.05.84). It is not a "flat" rate: the tariff column reads "the duty provided in the applicable subheading + 12.5%." And the escape hatch — heading 9903.05.86, which exempts everything on Note 52's carve-out list — contains 9,692 tariff codes across 82 chapters and not one of them is in Chapter 95. The code list jumps straight from 9405.99.40 to 9620.00.50. Video game consoles (HTS 9504.50) are not exempt, not named, and not carved out. Meanwhile CBP has spent 2025 and 2026 issuing origin rulings that assign Razer, Turtle Beach and Valve controllers and consoles to Thailand or Vietnam — based on nothing more than where a circuit board was soldered. The industry migrated out of China to escape a tariff. A tariff with an entirely different rationale has now followed it there.

An original LostInConsoles data investigation, assembled from the USTR Section 301 notice at 91 FR 47318 and the Harmonized Tariff Schedule (Revision 19, 2026) Chapter 99 U.S. notes, cross-read against CBP CROSS country-of-origin rulings N349996, N350654, N355069, N355986, N356709, N362101, N347135, N359665 and N359663.

The short version

The console industry spent two years moving assembly out of China. The destination was narrow: northern Vietnam for Xbox and PlayStation, Thailand for components and for Valve's hardware. The legal instrument that made the move work was the CBP country-of-origin ruling — a document that decides, for tariff purposes, which country a product is "from."

Between April 2025 and June 2026, CBP issued a documented cluster of those rulings for exactly this hardware. Every one of them reached the same conclusion by the same route: the printed circuit board assembly (PCBA) is where the product's essential character lives, so the country that solders the components onto the bare board is the country of origin — even though the finished device is then shipped to China and assembled there.

Then, on 24 July 2026, a new tariff landed. It is not a China tariff, and it is not about semiconductors or reciprocal trade balances. It is a Section 301 action over the failure of 60 economies to enforce a prohibition on goods made with forced labour. Two of the named economies are Thailand and Vietnam. Both got the same rate: the ordinary duty plus 12.5%.

For HTS 9504.50 — video game consoles — the ordinary duty is Free. So the arithmetic is not complicated. The legal fiction that made a Thai-soldered controller "a product of Thailand" for tariff purposes now also makes it a product of Thailand for a tariff whose stated purpose has nothing to do with controllers at all.

And there is no carve-out. This is the part worth checking rather than assuming, because the notice's exemption architecture is real and extensive — it simply does not include the gaming shelf.

What the tariff actually says

The action was initiated on 12 March 2026 (60 investigations, published at 91 FR 12884) and concluded with a determination that 54 economies "have failed to impose and effectively enforce a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labor," plus a second list of six economies that "have failed to effectively enforce" such a prohibition: Canada, Ecuador, the European Union, Indonesia, Mexico and Pakistan.

Thailand is economy 53 in the notice's determination. Vietnam is economy 60. Both are in the 54.

The rates are published as Chapter 99 headings, and the rate columns are identical in structure across the board:

Economy Chapter 99 heading Rate column
China, People's Republic of 9903.05.31 the applicable subheading + 12.5%
Thailand 9903.05.77 the applicable subheading + 12.5%
Vietnam 9903.05.84 the applicable subheading + 12.5%

Read that carefully, because "12.5%" is not a standalone duty and the difference matters. The heading does not replace the ordinary rate with 12.5%. It adds 12.5 percentage points to whatever the ordinary (MFN) rate already is. For a product whose base rate is 15%, the result is 27.5%. For a product whose base rate is Free — which is what HTS 9504.50 is — the result is 12.5%.

Every one of these headings carries the same lead-in clause:

"Except for products described in headings 9903.05.85–9903.05.92, articles the product of Thailand, as provided for in U.S. note 52 to this subchapter…"

That clause is the whole game. "Except for products described in headings 9903.05.85–9903.05.92" is the escape route. If a console is described in one of those headings, it escapes. So the only question that matters is what is in them.

The exemption list, counted

Heading 9903.05.86 is the general exemption. Its article description is blunt and self-referential: "Articles provided for in subdivision (b) of U.S. note 52 to this subchapter." So the exemption is not a principle. It is a list, and the list is in Note 52(b).

The operative sentence sits at the top of that subdivision:

"As provided in heading 9903.05.86, the duties imposed by headings 9903.05.20–9903.05.84 shall not apply to articles that are classifiable in the following provisions of the HTSUS…"

What follows is a mechanical enumeration of tariff codes. Run the census on the full list — not a window, not an excerpt, the complete subdivision from its opening to the end of the note — and this is what it contains:

  • 9,692 code tokens
  • 82 distinct chapters represented
  • Chapters present at the chapter 92–98 boundary: 92 (0), 93 (0), 94 (44), 95 (0), 96 (3), 97 (19), 98 (6)
  • Occurrences of the string "9504": 0
  • Occurrences of "console": 0, of "game": 0, of "toy": 0

The list is not merely missing a video-game provision. It skips the entire chapter. Here is the verbatim sequence where the enumeration crosses that boundary:

...9405.99.20 9405.99.40 9620.00.50 9620.00.60 9802.00.40 9802.00.50 9802.00.60 9802.00.80 9818.00.05 9818.00.07

Chapter 94 ends at 9405.99.40. The next code is 9620.00.50 — chapter 96. Chapter 95, the chapter that contains 9504.50.00 (video game consoles and machines), does not appear at all, in any form, anywhere in the exemption list. Neither does 9503 (toys), nor 9504.20 (billiards), nor 9504.90, nor 9505 (festive articles), nor the 9506 sporting-goods block that sits beside them in every other Chapter 99 list.

This is worth pausing on, because Chapter 95 is not an obscure corner of the schedule. In the other Chapter 99 lists — the ones that govern the China Section 301 tariffs — Chapter 95 is enumerated exhaustively. The video-game line 9504.50.00 appears in the China list at two separate points in Chapter 99, where it is routed to heading 9903.88.16 under note 20(u)(i), the suspended List 4B tranche. Chapter 95 appears there in full: 9503.00.00, 9504.20.60, 9504.40.00, 9504.50.00, 9504.90.40, 9504.90.60, 9505.10.15 through 9505.90.60, the 9506 block, 9507.10.00 through 9507.90.80, and 9605.00.00. Someone drafting those lists knew exactly where the toys-and-games lines sit.

The forced-labor exemption list, compiled in 2026 by the same office, omits Chapter 95 entirely.

The list was not the product of inattention

If Note 52(b) were a rushed document, the chapter-95 gap could be read as an oversight. It is not a rushed document, and the surrounding sub-divisions show the drafting was deliberate and surgical.

Note 52's other carve-outs are narrow and specific, and each one is a category of goods someone thought through:

  • Heading 9903.05.87 exempts a named list of particular articles — etrogs, frozen tropical fruit, and other individually-described goods.
  • Heading 9903.05.88 exempts civil aircraft: airframes, engines, parts, components, sub-assemblies, and ground flight simulators.
  • Heading 9903.05.89 exempts articles for use in pharmaceutical applications, by named tariff provision.
  • Heading 9903.05.90 exempts aluminium, steel and copper articles and derivative steel/aluminium articles; passenger vehicles and light trucks, by heading.
  • Heading 9903.05.85 is the in-transit transition: goods already loaded onto a vessel and in transit before 12:01 a.m. Eastern on 24 July 2026.
  • Heading 9903.05.91 exempts humanitarian donations.
  • Heading 9903.05.92 onward are the 54 individual country headings, beginning with Algeria.

Semiconductors get their own carve-out too, in Note 52 subdivision (f)(7), pointing to heading 9903.79.01. The Chapter 84 and 85 codes that do appear inside Note 52 belong to that semiconductor exclusion — they cover chips and chip-making inputs, not finished consumer electronics. There is no reading on which a game controller or a console is swept in by them.

So the machinery to exempt a category exists, is used freely, and is used precisely. Aircraft got a heading. Pharmaceuticals got a heading. Cars got a heading. Steel got a heading. A controller got nothing — not a heading, not a line, not a mention.

The rulings that made "made in China" stop being true

The reason this tariff lands on consoles at all, rather than on Chinese ones, is a body of customs law the games press has never read. It lives in CBP's CROSS database, and the cluster is unusually concentrated: one applicant, one product family, a sequence of rulings issued over fifteen months.

For Razer, the pattern is systematic enough to look like a compliance programme. Every product family got its own ruling, filed through Razer (Asia-Pacific) Pte. Ltd. in Singapore and signed by the same requester, Joe Castillo:

Ruling Date Product PCBA origin Origin held
N350654 18 Jul 2025 Wolverine V3 Pro (wireless) & Wolverine V3 Tournament Edition (wired) Vietnam (SMT) Vietnam
N355069 6 Nov 2025 Wolverine V3 Tournament Edition 8K Vietnam (SMT) Vietnam
N355986 10 Dec 2025 Kitsune All-Button Arcade Controller Thailand (SMT) Thailand
N356709 17 Dec 2025 Kishi V3, Kishi V3 Pro, Kishi V3 Pro XL Thailand (SMT) Thailand
N362101 23 Jun 2026 Raiju V3 Pro (PS5 / PC, 2.4 GHz) Thailand (SMT) Thailand

For Turtle Beach, ruling N349996 (1 Jul 2025) covers the Stealth Ultra Wireless XB/PC Global Controller, model TBS-0710-05 FG, with the dongle and charging dock — and finds the country of origin to be Vietnam.

For Valve, the rulings cover hardware the public has barely seen:

Ruling Date Product Origin held
N347135 24 Apr 2025 Steam Deck OLED Thailand
N359665 25 Mar 2026 Steam Machine (PC gaming console) Thailand
N359663 6 Apr 2026 Steam Frame VR bundle (model Deckard) Thailand

Valve's Steam Deck ruling is the most instructive, because it shows the split and still resolves it one way. The device's main PCBA is manufactured in Thailand, while three supporting PCBAs — input control boards, thumb stick boards, an audio board — are manufactured in China using SMT. CBP's conclusion:

"…the assembly of the main PCBA in Thailand by soldering the individual components onto the bare board results in a substantial transformation of the components to produce the main PCBA of Thai origin."

That is the whole mechanism in one sentence. It is not assembly of the finished device that confers origin. It is the soldering of components onto the board. Thailand holds the origin because Thailand did the surface-mount work, even though China built the boards that sit alongside the Thai one.

The formula, repeated word for word

Across the cluster, CBP repeats the same analytical formula. It is worth quoting in full because it is stated identically in every ruling, and it is explicitly about tariffs, not labelling:

"When determining the country of origin for purposes of applying current trade remedies under Section 301 and additional duties, the substantial transformation analysis is applicable. See, e.g., Headquarters Ruling Letter H301619, dated November 6, 2018. The test for determining whether a substantial transformation will occur is whether an article emerges from a process with a new name, character, or use different from that possessed by the article prior to processing. See Texas Instruments Inc. v. United States, 681 F.2d 778 (C.C.P.A. 1982). This determination is based on the totality of the evidence. See National Hand Tool Corp. v. United States, 16 C.I.T. 308 (1992), aff'd, 989 F.2d 1201 (Fed. Cir. 1993)."

The rulings do not merely determine origin as an abstract matter. They determine it for the purpose of applying Section 301 and additional duties — which is exactly the duty this new action imposes. The findings of fact they rely on are stated with a specificity that reads like a factory audit:

  • N350654 (Razer Wolverine V3): "both the wired and wireless modes of the controllers contain a printed circuit board assembly (PCBA) that is manufactured in Vietnam via surface mount technology (SMT) process utilizing components which are sourced from various countries."
  • N355986 (Kitsune): "the subject controller contains a printed circuit board assembly (PCBA) that is manufactured in Thailand via a surface mount technology (SMT) process."
  • N362101 (Raiju V3 Pro): after the Thai PCBA is built, "the functional PCBA will be sent from Thailand to China. In China, the final assembly takes place, which consists of mounting the PCBA into a shell/casing, and installing other parts, such as brackets, buttons, directional pad, thumb sticks, connector, grips, battery, etc. Then, the completed game controllers are inspected, tested, labeled, and packaged."

And in each, the essential-character finding is phrased the same way:

"…it is the opinion of this office that the PCBA contributes to the main functionality of the finished merchandise."

For Valve's console it is stronger still. In N359665, CBP finds that

"the motherboard, which contains the essential functional components of the console, imparts the character of the finished article"

and adds the sentence that closes the door:

"Further, this PCBA is not substantially transformed into a new and different article of commerce by the processes performed in China."

Read those two rulings together and the manufacturing map of a modern console falls out. A device can have its motherboard soldered in Thailand, be shipped to China, have its chassis, thermal module and power supply assembled around it there, have its final PCBAs installed there, and be packaged for the United States there — and still, for U.S. tariff purposes, be a product of Thailand. The China assembly step is, in the law's eyes, invisible.

Why the migration and the tariff are now the same line item

Put the two documents side by side and the collision is not subtle.

The 2025–26 origin rulings exist because the industry needed its hardware to stop being a product of China. China's Section 301 tariffs sit on top of everything else in Chapter 99, and they are not refundable by moving a chassis. The CBP ruling is the receipt that proves the move worked: it certifies that the article is a product of Thailand or Vietnam, and therefore is not a product of China for the duties that punish Chinese origin.

Then the July 2026 forced-labour action made Thailand and Vietnam themselves tariffed origins — at the ordinary rate plus 12.5% — and exempted a list that omits Chapter 95 completely.

The result is a specific, arithmetic outcome for the products in the CBP cluster:

  • A Razer Kitsune, Kishi V3 or Raiju V3 Pro — ruled a product of Thailand — is now a product of a +12.5% country.
  • A Razer Wolverine V3 or Turtle Beach Stealth Ultra — ruled a product of Vietnam — is now a product of a +12.5% country.
  • A Valve Steam Deck OLED, Steam Machine or Steam Frame — ruled a product of Thailand — is now a product of a +12.5% country.

And because HTS 9504.50 carries a Free general rate, there is no MFN margin to absorb it. Where a Chinese-origin console's duty burden is set by the China Section 301 layers, a Thai-origin console's burden was, until 24 July 2026, zero. The migration did not just reduce the tariff. It eliminated it. Now the same 12.5% applies to the destination that was chosen specifically to avoid a tariff.

There is one more clause that closes an escape route a customs lawyer would reach for first. Note 52(a) states that duties under these headings "shall also be subject to any additional duty provided for in this subchapter or in subchapter IV of chapter 99," and adds, explicitly, "Notwithstanding U.S. note 1 to this subchapter." The stacking is intentional. It also forecloses the classic out: articles entered under subheadings 9802.00.40, 9802.00.50, 9802.00.60 or heading 9802.00.80 — the outward-processing provisions used by companies that export a component, have it processed abroad, and re-import it — do not escape. The note says the additional duties "apply to the value of repairs, alterations or processing performed" under those subheadings, and to "the value of the article assembled abroad, less the cost or value of such products of the United States" under 9802.00.80. The outward-processing route is taxed, not exempted.

The part that is genuinely unresolved

Two things should be said plainly, because the temptation to over-read this is real.

First, the effective rate is not always 12.5%. The rate column adds 12.5 percentage points to the ordinary rate. For HTS 9504.50 that happens to be Free, so 12.5% is the effective figure for consoles. But a controller classified elsewhere, or a component with a non-zero general rate, faces more — and anyone reading "12.5%" as a ceiling rather than a surcharge has read the column wrong.

Second, the exemption architecture has one more layer that this analysis does not close. Note 52(a) also says the duties apply "Except as provided in headings 9903.05.85–9903.06.21 and in subdivisions (b) through (k) of this note." Subdivisions (b) through (k) is a large space, and only subdivision (b) — the 9,692-code list — has been counted here. Subdivision (f), for instance, is where the aluminium, steel, copper, passenger-vehicle and semiconductor exclusions live, and it is operative through its own headings. The decisive finding is narrower and firmer: the general exemption list in Note 52(b) contains no Chapter 95 codes at all, and the video-game line 9504 is not present anywhere in the USTR notice's own text — a scan of the notice returns zero occurrences of the string "9504". A category that is never named in the notice and never listed in the general exemption is a category that pays.

A third caveat belongs in the same paragraph. The rulings establish origin; they do not set the classification. A product ruled "of Thailand" still has to be entered under a heading, and the rate depends on that heading. What the cluster establishes beyond argument is the origin fact, and it is the origin fact — not the assembly geography the industry advertises — that the tariff is written against.

What to watch

The interesting question is no longer whether the industry moved production out of China. CBP's rulings settle that, product by product and model number by model number. The question is whether the destination survived the move.

Three things are worth tracking:

  1. Whether new CBP rulings start reaching different conclusions. The cluster's logic is uniform: the PCBA confers origin. If a future ruling instead finds that final assembly in China does substantially transform a Thai-built board — or if CBP reverses on periodic verification, which every ruling reserves the right to do ("the material facts described in the foregoing ruling may be subject to periodic verification by CBP") — the origin flips back and the tariff profile changes with it.
  2. Whether the exemption list is amended. The forced-labour action is an executable regime, not a statute, and its carve-out list was built in 2026. If a gaming-industry trade association files comments seeking a Chapter 95 line — as the steel, aircraft, pharmaceutical and vehicle sectors evidently did — the shape of the exemption is the shape of who lobbied.
  3. Whether the next console platform gets a ruling at all. Razer's filings are the tell. Twelve months of rulings, one per product family, filed before launch, by an in-house applicant in Singapore, reads as a company that has decided origin certainty is a line item worth paying for. A platform holder that skips that step inherits whatever origin CBP decides its hardware has — after the entry, not before.

The migration to Thailand and Vietnam was sold to shareholders as supply-chain resilience. It was also, in the customs paperwork, a tariff-avoidance architecture — and the paperwork is unusually explicit about it, because the rulings say in their own text that they exist "for purposes of applying current trade remedies under Section 301 and additional duties." The tariff that arrived on 24 July 2026 has a different rationale, a different legal basis, and a different list of countries. It found the consoles anyway.

Sources

  • Office of the United States Trade RepresentativeNotice of Actions in Section 301 Investigations of Acts, Policies, and Practices of Various Economies Related to the Failure of Each Economy To Impose and Effectively Enforce a Prohibition on the Importation of Goods Produced With Forced Labor91 FR 47318, document 2026-15181, published 28 July 2026 (Docket Nos. USTR–2026–0265, USTR–2026–0266). Additional rates applicable to entries on or after 12:01 a.m. Eastern, 24 July 2026.
  • U.S. International Trade CommissionHarmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States, Revision 19 (2026), Chapter 99, Subchapter III: U.S. note 52 subdivisions (a) and (b); headings 9903.05.31 (China), 9903.05.77 (Thailand), 9903.05.84 (Vietnam), 9903.05.85–9903.05.92 (exemptions); note 20(u)(i) and heading 9903.88.16 (China List 4B). HTS 9504.50 general rate: Free. hts.usitc.gov
  • U.S. Customs and Border Protection — CROSS rulings (country of origin):
    • N349996 (1 Jul 2025) — Turtle Beach Stealth Ultra Wireless XB/PC controller → Vietnam
    • N350654 (18 Jul 2025) — Razer Wolverine V3 Pro / V3 Tournament Edition → Vietnam
    • N352864 (15 Sep 2025) — Nintendo Switch game cartridges
    • N355069 (6 Nov 2025) — Razer Wolverine V3 Tournament Edition 8K → Vietnam
    • N355986 (10 Dec 2025) — Razer Kitsune All-Button Arcade Controller → Thailand
    • N356709 (17 Dec 2025) — Razer Kishi V3 / V3 Pro / V3 Pro XL → Thailand
    • N362101 (23 Jun 2026) — Razer Raiju V3 Pro → Thailand
    • N347135 (24 Apr 2025) — Valve Steam Deck OLED → Thailand
    • N359665 (25 Mar 2026) — Valve Steam Machine → Thailand
    • N359663 (6 Apr 2026) — Valve Steam Frame (model Deckard) → Thailand
    • All available at the CBP CROSS database: rulings.cbp.gov

Note: the Chapter 99 notes, the exemption census and the rate-column wording were read from the Revision 19 (2026) HTSUS text; the rate structure "the applicable subheading + 12.5%" is quoted exactly from the heading columns. The origin findings are quoted from the CBP rulings themselves; the tariff-consequence analysis that connects them to the July 2026 action is LostInConsoles' reading, and is labelled as such. The 12.5% figure is a surcharge on the ordinary rate, not a standalone duty.

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